Free MLB Picks & Predictions - Today's Best Expert MLB Bets (2024)

I've got to go with the Giants as they come off a series-opening win vs. the Nats and are winners of nine of their last 12 games. They'll get to tee off against MacKenzie Gore, who had some good results to start the year but has since dropped off and has given up 31 runs over his last eight starts. The Giants will have the pitching advantage with Hayden Birdsong (great name) on the bump against a Nats side that's been inconsistent at the plate all season long.

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Chris Vasile - Pick Made 16 hrs, 35 min ago.

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There's no reason to doubt the Yankees in this spot as they come off a series win vs. the Jays and the offense has been absolutely cooking of late. The Yankees have scored at least four runs in nine straight games and they should have no issues doing so again vs. Davis Daniel. On the flip side, Luis Gil gets the ball for the Bronx Bombers and he's been solid giving up more than one run just one time over his last four starts. The Angels' offense is among the worst in the Majors and I see the Yankees winning this game by 2+ runs at least.

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Chris Vasile - Pick Made 16 hrs, 31 min ago.

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Soto is fourth in the majors in slugging percentage (.598) and his xSLG is even higher at an incredible .674. He has a .615 slugging percentage at home and when he has the platoon advantage he slugs .611. Today he faces the Angels who are starting rookie righty Davis Daniel and have a poor bullpen behind him. Daniel has a 4.91 ERA and an xBA of .282 through four starts. Soto has been red-hot, slashing .340/.438/.709 over his last 25 games and that sizzling play should continue tonight. This is a five-star prop play according to THE BAT X which is projecting 2.1 total bases for the Yankees superstar.

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Rohit Ponnaiya - Pick Made 1 hrs, 58 min ago.

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Vladdy is on an incredible 17-game hitting streak where he has a .500 average, a 1.683 OPS, nine HRs and 18 RBI. That includes Vladdy going 9-for-16 with six extra-base hits in last week’s series against the O’s. He also has solid career numbers against Rodriguez. He is 5-for-14 with a double and a dinger vs. the Baltimore right-hander.

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Andrew Caley - Pick Made 38 min ago.

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While Bryce Elder was an All-Star for Atlanta last year, he has struggled mightily to find that form in 2024. Batters are taking advantage of Elder to the tune of a 1.543 WHIP, and he has allowed six homers in just 46 innings of work. Just as concerning, Elder doesn’t seem to have figured things out during his time in the minors. He’s had 10 starts in Gwinnett, going 6-3 with a 4.14 ERA — numbers that are fine but hardly inspiring for someone who was so effective at the MLB level last year. Colin Rea is having a career year for Milwaukee in 2024, posting a 9-3 record with a 3.59 ERA. He’s finally doing a better job of keeping the ball in the park and while his peripherals don’t look quite as good as his topline numbers, a 1.197 WHIP and a 4.45 FIP suggest his numbers are sustainable enough.

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Ed Scimia - Pick Made 0 min ago.

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Right-handerTyler Mahlemakes his season debut for theTexas Rangers tonight. Mahle underwent Tommy John surgery after his dominating start in 2023, posting a 3.16 ERA and 1.05 WHIP through five starts while ranking in the league's top half in xBA, average exit velocity, strikeout rate, and walk rate. Mahle's rehab assignments with Triple-A Round Rock have also gone well, so I am optimistic about his return to form for this matchup. Through 33 combined career plate appearances against the Rangers hurler, this current Astros lineup possesses a mere .204 xBA, .264 xSLG, and .202 xwOBA. Back the defending champs at plus money in this one.

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Tony Sartori - Pick Made 44 min ago.

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Royce Lewishas been a force this season hitting in the heart of the order, and the right-hander has teed off on southpaws with an elite .446 wOBA and .314 ISO. He’s coming in hot against all arms with respective .416 and .316 marks since July 1, too. Lewis’ Statcast numbers also jump off the page with his 16.1% barrel rate and 44.1% hard-hit rate,both high-end marks.

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Neil Parker - Pick Made 2 hrs, 34 min ago.

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In his first nine starts of the year, Imanaga had a sizzling 0.84 ERA but in his last 11 outings that number has surged to 5.03. However, even during that recent cold stretch he allowed fewer than 1.5 earned runs in five of those 11 starts. The Twins have an MLB-best OPS of .799 at home but that number dips to .716 on the road. They should have major issues hitting in this away contest with the wind at Wrigley Field projected to blow towards the infield at more 27 mph. Imanaga's biggest weakness has been his tendency to allow fly balls, sitting in the bottom 10th percentile in ground ball rate. However the fly balls he gives up today will get swallowed up the wind at Wrigley.

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Rohit Ponnaiya - Pick Made 2 hrs, 12 min ago.

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Kershaw underwent surgery on his throwing shoulder last November and he made his season debut on July 25, pitching four innings and allowing a pair of runs. He looked worse in his second start last Wednesday, surrendering seven runs (three earned) before getting the hook midway through the fourth. The 36-year-old has a strikeout rate of just 14.6% this year, far lower than last year's 26.2% and his opponent xBA of .299 is significantly worse than his career-worst xBA of .237 back in 2018. He also has a tough matchup today against a Phillies lineup that leads the majors with a .790 OPS against southpaws. Even if Dodgers manager Dave Roberts gives Kershaw a slightly longer leash tonight, don't expect him to pitch more than five innings.

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Rohit Ponnaiya - Pick Made 2 hrs, 6 min ago.

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Teoscar Hernandez has been on a heater and matches up perfectly with Phillies lefty Cristopher Sanchez. He's hitting .294 with a 166 wRC+ and .404 wOBA against LHP, and those numbers bump up to .298, 181, and .426 when we isolate for home games — he’s been a very tough out at Dodger Stadium in general, but especially against LHP.

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JD Yonke - Pick Made 3 hrs, 15 min ago.

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